Uncertain judgements : eliciting experts' probabilities / Anthony O'Hagan ... [et al.].

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Bibliographic Details
Published:	Chichester ; Hoboken, NJ : Wiley, c2006.
Other Authors:	O'Hagan, Anthony
Series:	Statistics in practice
Subjects:	Probabilities. Statistics. Distribution (Probability theory) Mathematical statistics. Bayesian statistical decision theory.
Format:	Book

Uncertain judgements : eliciting experts' probabilities /

Table of Contents:

1. Fundamentals of probability and judgement
2. The elicitation context
3. The psychology of judgement under uncertainty
4. The elicitation of probabilities
5. Eliciting distributions - general
6. Eliciting and fitting a parametric distribution
7. Eliciting distributions - uncertainty and imprecision
8. Evaluating elicitation
9. Multiple experts
10. Published examples of the formal elicitation of export opinion
11. Guidance on best practice
12. Areas for research.